This model tests whether local housing supply elasticity governs crash severity inside a single metropolitan housing market. Saiz (2010) established that across US metros, regions constrained by geography and regulation experience deeper boom-bust cycles than flexible ones. That finding is routinely applied downward to neighborhoods and ZIP codes as though the mechanism scaled without qualification.

The empirical record for the Washington DC and Northern Virginia region says it does not. Across 84 ZIP codes, measured supply elasticity ranges from 0.35 to 4.95 with a median of 1.21. The worst single-year price decline between 2007 and 2012 averaged 9.6 percent in constrained ZIP codes and 9.0 percent in flexible ones, a gap that cannot be distinguished from noise. Wide variation in the proposed cause, no meaningful separation in the proposed effect.

The model embeds households, houses and a metro-wide credit condition in the real ZIP geography of the region using three GIS layers and an empirical price panel. Local elasticity governs construction, exactly as theory predicts. Prices are driven by a shared macro drift schedule and, under the credit-amplified mode, by a leverage cycle with a financial accelerator and a deviation penalty. The design question is whether those shared forces are sufficient to override local supply differences at the sub-metropolitan scale.

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MOSAIC is an agent-based NetLogo model of decentralized mission coordination among heterogeneous robots operating under partial observability, limited energy, spatially variable risk, dynamic communication, and individual and cooperative task requirements. Robots discover tasks locally, exchange task information through temporary communication links, submit capability-, energy-, deadline-, and risk-aware bids, compete for individual contracts, and form temporary coalitions for cooperative tasks.

The model integrates decentralized auctions, greedy capability-based coalition formation, contract release and reassignment, four reward regimes, reputation, adaptive bidding strategies, failure traceability, and mission-, network-, information-, inequality-, and coalition-level metrics. It operates without a centralized mission planner or global combinatorial assignment solver.

Seven paired-seed BehaviorSpace experiments comprising 690 official simulation runs evaluate baseline mission viability, reward regimes, communication structure, capability heterogeneity, cooperative-task demand, reputation and adaptive strategies, and mission-incentive strength. The results indicate that structural coordination capacity—particularly information reach, capability compatibility, and feasible coalition construction—has a stronger effect on mission completion than increasing incentive intensity within the tested architecture and parameter ranges.

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An empirically calibrated agent-based model of cooperation among 14 EU member states. Adaptive state-agents update their cooperation propensity through behavioural inertia, influence along the observed intra-EU trade network (IMF bilateral flows), and repeated-game payoff indicators built from verified Eurostat, Eurobarometer and IMF data (2021-2024). An anchored logistic mapping makes the observed configuration stationary in the absence of shocks, so outcomes read as deviations from the empirical baseline. The model stress-tests European cooperation to 2040 under five scenarios of increasing severity, from a baseline to a Taiwan Strait crisis counterfactual, with 1,000 Monte Carlo replications and a full sensitivity suite (one-factor-at-a-time, joint parameter sampling, breaking-point analysis, alternative functional form). Documented with the ODD protocol; self-testing and fully reproducible under fixed seeds.

An agent-based model of saving and dissaving behaviour under quasi-hyperbolic (β–δ) discounting. Building on the individual decision problem of Cao and Werning (2018), the model embeds present-biased agents in a Watts–Strogatz small-world network and adds three configurable mechanisms of social influence — information diffusion, peer comparison, and social-norm conformity — across five heterogeneous behavioural profiles (Planners, Moderates, Procrastinators, Inverse Procrastinators, and Impulsive agents).
Each profile’s saving policy is approximated by value-function iteration over a discretised wealth grid; the solved policies are cached and applied as agents interact over their network neighbourhoods. The model tests whether each social mechanism can alter the saving and wealth trajectories that present-biased agents would otherwise follow in isolation, and characterises the direction and size of each effect on median wealth, wealth inequality (Gini), and the incidence of severely depleted agents.
The deposit includes the core model (Model.py), an analysis and visualisation pipeline (analyze_results.py), a standalone ODD description (ODD.md), and pinned dependencies.

ABMIND, the Agent-Based Model of Individual Psychological Distance, is a modeling framework developed to examine how psychological distance influences environmental protection behavior in coastal farming communities in southern China. Using household survey data and empirically estimated behavioral pathways, the model represents how uncertainty shapes four dimensions of psychological distance, namely temporal, spatial, social and hypothetical distance, and how these dimensions guide protection and degradation decisions. Agents include households, government actors and mangrove ecosystem patches, connected through social networks and ecological feedbacks that affect learning, expectations and perceived benefits. Policy interventions such as rewards, penalties and publicity guidance efforts work by modifying uncertainty and psychological distance rather than directly controlling behavior. ABMIND is implemented as a spatially explicit model following the ODD protocol, and a concise user guide is provided. In developing ABMIND we introduce a structured validation workflow that links statistical mediation analysis with simulation-based diagnostics, allowing empirical cognitive mechanisms to be systematically embedded and tested within the ABM. This integrated approach strengthens the credibility of psychological-mechanism models and supports their use in policy evaluation. The framework offers a methodological platform for integrating cognitive mechanisms into agent-based environmental behavior modeling and for evaluating policy strategies that support ecosystem protection.
Model paper:
ABMIND: An empirically informed agent-based model of psychological distance and environmental protection behaviour
Ecological Modelling
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111700

This computational model accompanies the article “The Informational Assumptions of Schelling Segregation: An Agent-Based Decomposition of Cue Inference, Cultural Schemas, and Residential Sorting.” It implements an agent-based model in which agents infer latent neighborhood-type classes from noisy non-demographic cues through schema-specific diagnostic mappings, update beliefs, and relocate when satisfaction on a preferred latent class falls below a threshold.

The model serves as a mechanism-isolation device for studying the informational architecture underlying Schelling-style residential sorting. It includes the principal sweep configuration (14,400 runs across a seven-parameter grid), a disagreement-metric sub-sweep with permutation-minimized Jensen-Shannon divergence recorded natively, controls (positive, negative, and frozen-belief), a paired-seed cue-channel perturbation experiment, and selected-cell sensitivity sweeps for cue persistence and home-biased mobility.

The full ODD protocol, parameter manifests, deterministic seed schedules, processed outputs, regenerable figure scripts, the verification test suite, and the satisfaction-mapping audit document are included. Every reported run is deterministic given a (config, seed) pair, and an included audit script verifies bit-for-bit replay on sampled runs.

This model is a part of an ongoing research project on Multiagent Reinforcement Learning (MARL). The ODD protocol is included in the model. In this version of the model, Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) is designed in the agent behaviors. It also includes a designed experiment in its Behavior Space which is used in the Response Surface Methodology and training of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based Recommender System.

An agent-based microsimulation of insecticide-treated net (ITN) distribution and adoption in Kenya (2003–2024), integrating the Theory of Planned Behaviour, Rogers diffusion, Weibull net decay, and a GPS-based two-layer social network. 8,561 household agents calibrated via Approximate Bayesian Computation to six DHS/MIS survey waves, achieving 2.42 pp mean absolute error on Kenya-level ownership. The analysis chain supports mechanism counterfactuals and policy experiments on equity outcomes of ITN distribution strategies.

This model is an agent-based simulation designed to explore how climate-induced environmental degradation can contribute to the emergence of social violence in coastal communities that depend heavily on ecosystem services for their livelihoods. The model represents a coupled social–ecological system in which environmental shocks—such as sea level rise and marine ecosystem decline—affect local economic conditions, food security, and community stability.

Agents in the model represent individuals whose livelihoods depend on coastal ecosystems. Environmental degradation reduces ecosystem productivity and increases economic hardship, which can lead to the formation of grievances among agents. The model incorporates behavioral thresholds that determine how individuals respond to hardship and perceived injustice. Under certain conditions—particularly when institutional capacity and law enforcement effectiveness are limited—these grievances may escalate into violent behavior.

The simulation allows users to explore how different climate scenarios, levels of ecosystem degradation, livelihood dependence, and institutional responses influence the probability of social instability and violence. By modeling the interactions between environmental stress, socio-economic vulnerability, and governance capacity, the model provides a computational framework for examining potential pathways linking climate change and conflict in coastal social–ecological systems.

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Negotiation Lab 1.0 is an agent-based model of peace negotiations that explores how the parties’ readiness — their motivation and optimism to engage in talks — evolves dynamically throughout the negotiation process. The model reconceptualizes readiness as an adaptive state variable that is continuously updated through feedback from negotiation outcomes, rather than a static precondition assessed at the onset of talks.
The model simulates two parties negotiating a multi-issue agenda. In each round, parties allocate effort to the current sub-issue; outcomes depend on their joint effort and a stochastic component representing external factors. Results feed back into each party’s readiness, shaping subsequent engagement. The negotiation ends either when all agenda items are resolved (agreement) or when a party’s readiness falls below a critical threshold (breakdown).
Key parameters include the initial readiness of each party, agenda structure (balanced, hard, easy, red, or random), type of negotiation (from highly cooperative to highly competitive), and each party’s effort strategy (always high, always low, random, or pseudo tit-for-tat). The model shows that while initial readiness is associated with negotiation outcomes, it is neither necessary nor sufficient to determine them: process variables — the type of interaction, agenda design, and adaptive effort strategies — exert comparatively larger effects on outcomes. Identical initial conditions can produce widely divergent trajectories, illustrating path dependence and sensitivity to feedback dynamics.
The model is implemented in NetLogo 7.0 and is documented using the ODD+D protocol. It is associated with the paper “Beyond Initial Conditions: How Adaptive Readiness Shapes Peace Negotiation Outcomes” (Arévalo, under review).