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Displaying 10 of 372 results for "Ali Termos" clear search
The Land Use Competition in Drylands (LUCID) model is a stylized agent-based model of a smallholder farming system. Its main purpose is to illustrate how competition between pastoralism and crop cultivation can affect livelihoods of households, specifically their food security. In particular, the model analyzes whether the expansion of crop cultivation may contribute to a vicious circle where an increase in cultivated area leads to higher grazing pressure on the remaining pastureland, which in turn may cause forage shortages and livestock loss for households which are then forced to further expand their cultivated area in order to increase their food security. The model does not attempt to replicate a particular case study but to generate a general understanding of mechanisms and drivers of such vicious circles and to identify possible scenarios under which such circles may be prevented.
The model is inspired by observations of the Borana land use system in Southern Ethiopia. The climatic and ecological conditions of the Borana zone favor pastoralism, and traditionally livelihoods have been based mainly on livestock keeping. Recent years, however, have seen an advancement of crop cultivation as a coping strategy, e.g., to compensate the loss of livestock, even though crop yields are low on average and successful harvests are infrequent.
In the model, it is possible to evaluate patterns of individual (single household) as well as overall (across all households) consumption and food security, depending on a range of ecological, climatic and management parameters.
This model illustrates a positive ‘transport’ feedback loop in which lines with different resistance to flows of material result in variation in rates of change in linked entities.
Simulates impacts of ants killing colony mates when in conflict with another nest. The murder rate is adjustable, and the environmental change is variable. The colonies employ social learning so knowledge diffusion proceeds if interactions occur.
The targeted subsidies plan model is based on the economic concept of targeted subsidies.
The targeted subsidies plan model simulates the distribution of subsidies among households in a community over several years. The model assumes that the government allocates a fixed amount of money each year for the purpose of distributing cash subsidies to eligible households. The eligible households are identified by dividing families into 10 groups based on their income, property, and wealth. The subsidy is distributed to the first four groups, with the first group receiving the highest subsidy amount. The model simulates the impact of the subsidy distribution process on the income and property of households in the community over time.
The model simulates a community of 230 households, each with a household income and wealth that follows a power-law distribution. The number of household members is modeled by a normal distribution. The model allocates a fixed amount of money each year for the purpose of distributing cash subsidies among eligible households. The eligible households are identified by dividing families into 10 groups based on their income, property, and wealth. The subsidy is distributed to the first four groups, with the first group receiving the highest subsidy amount.
The model runs for a period of 10 years, with the subsidy distribution process occurring every month. The subsidy received by each household is assumed to be spent, and a small portion may be saved and added to the household’s property. At the end of each year, the grouping of households based on income and assets is redone, and a number of families may be moved from one group to another based on changes in their income and property.
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The agent based model matches origins and destinations using employment search methods at the individual level.
This model WealthDistribRes can be used to study the distribution of wealth in function of using a combination of resources classified in two renewable and nonrenewable.
Subjective biases and errors systematically affect market equilibria, whether at the population level or in bilateral trading. Here, we consider the possibility that an agent engaged in bilateral trading is mistaken about her own valuation of the good she expects to trade, that has not been explicitly incorporated into the existing bilateral trade literature. Although it may sound paradoxical that a subjective private valuation is something an agent can be mistaken about, as it is up to her to fix it, we consider the case in which that agent, seller or buyer, consciously or not, given the structure of a market, a type of good, and a temporary lack of information, may arrive at an erroneous valuation. The typical context through which this possibility may arise is in relation with so-called experience goods, which are sold while all their intrinsic qualities are still unknown (such as untasted bottled fine wines). We model this “private misvaluation” phenomenon in our study. The agents may also be mistaken about how their exchange counterparties are themselves mistaken. Formally, they attribute a certain margin of error to the other agent, which can differ from the actual way that another agent misvalues the good under consideration. This can constitute the source of a second-order misvaluation. We model different attitudes and situations in which agents face unexpected signals from their counterparties and the manner and extent to which they revise their initial beliefs. We analyse and simulate numerically the consequences of first-order and second-order misvaluation on market equilibria.
Negotiation Lab 1.0 is an agent-based model of peace negotiations that explores how the parties’ readiness — their motivation and optimism to engage in talks — evolves dynamically throughout the negotiation process. The model reconceptualizes readiness as an adaptive state variable that is continuously updated through feedback from negotiation outcomes, rather than a static precondition assessed at the onset of talks.
The model simulates two parties negotiating a multi-issue agenda. In each round, parties allocate effort to the current sub-issue; outcomes depend on their joint effort and a stochastic component representing external factors. Results feed back into each party’s readiness, shaping subsequent engagement. The negotiation ends either when all agenda items are resolved (agreement) or when a party’s readiness falls below a critical threshold (breakdown).
Key parameters include the initial readiness of each party, agenda structure (balanced, hard, easy, red, or random), type of negotiation (from highly cooperative to highly competitive), and each party’s effort strategy (always high, always low, random, or pseudo tit-for-tat). The model shows that while initial readiness is associated with negotiation outcomes, it is neither necessary nor sufficient to determine them: process variables — the type of interaction, agenda design, and adaptive effort strategies — exert comparatively larger effects on outcomes. Identical initial conditions can produce widely divergent trajectories, illustrating path dependence and sensitivity to feedback dynamics.
The model is implemented in NetLogo 7.0 and is documented using the ODD+D protocol. It is associated with the paper “Beyond Initial Conditions: How Adaptive Readiness Shapes Peace Negotiation Outcomes” (Arévalo, under review).
An empirical-response agent-based model of how many personalized feeds execute a shared low-exposure creator-discovery objective. Built from the KuaiRec dataset: the big interaction matrix initializes a transparent rank-8 matrix-factorization platform learner and the activity schedule, while the near-complete small matrix returns observed viewing responses only after a user-video pair is exposed. Four exploration policies (synchronous low-exposure targeting, uniform exploration, per-user random tie-breaking, capacity-balanced coordination) are compared over 28 rounds at a nominal 10% exploration budget, across 30 paired seeds (core) and 10 paired seeds (bias-only probe), with slot-level redundancy, cross-user collision, and coverage diagnostics.
This release accompanies an anonymised manuscript under review at the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation.
The model represents 1,411 users, 3,327 videos, 2,031 authors, and an adaptive platform over 28 discrete rounds derived from the KuaiRec big-matrix activity calendar. Exploration policies differ only in how a fixed 10% slot budget is allocated; all policies share the opportunity schedule, response oracle, initial checkpoints, and online update rule.
Archive contents: analysis pipeline scripts (01-16), frozen machine-readable protocols with input hashes, initial model checkpoints, aggregate result tables, the complete ODD protocol record, and publication figures. Raw KuaiRec files are not redistributed; obtain them from the official dataset repository and verify against the input hashes in data_contract/. Row-level oracle tables are excluded by design.
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This archive contains the SAFE-ABM computational model developed to evaluate targeted intervention strategies for protecting essential workers during epidemic conditions, accompanying the published article “Essential Workers at Risk: An Agent-Based Model (SAFE-ABM) with Uncertainty Quantification” in the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 29(4), Article 7 (2026). https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.6276. SAFE-ABM is an agent-based model that simulates disease transmission through structured interactions across households, workplaces, and schools, while incorporating stochastic disease progression and uncertainty in transmission, recovery, and mortality parameters.
The model evaluates five intervention scenarios: Scenario 1, no restrictions; Scenario 2, school-from-home; Scenario 3, essential-workers-only movement; Scenario 4, rotational shifts among essential workers with quarantine of symptomatic active workers; and Scenario 5, rotational shifts among essential workers without quarantine. The archive includes scenario-specific simulation scripts, comparison-analysis scripts, saved derived outputs, README documentation, software requirements, and reproducibility notes.
The included comparison scripts reproduce the main numerical summaries and manuscript outputs, including median epidemic trajectories, predictive-uncertainty plots, cumulative recovery and death summaries, inflection-point summaries, Welch-test comparisons, and mutual-information sensitivity rankings. Saved derived outputs are included so that the main figures and tables can be reproduced without rerunning all large-scale simulations.
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