As a Program Associate in the Research Competitiveness Program, I work on a diverse portfolio of science and technology based development projects. These projects frequently involve managing peer-review processes for grant competitions and other research and development activities as well as producing their associated progress reports. Projects are often associated with the regional and national development plans of various governments and institutions both domestic and international.

How to model it: Ecological models, in particular simulation models, often seem to be formulated ad hoc and only poorly analysed. I am therefore interested in strategies and methods for making ecological modelling more coherent and efficient. The ultimate aim is to develop preditive models that provide mechanstic understanding of ecological systems and that are transparent and structurally realistic enough to support environmental decision making.

Pattern-oriented modelling: This is a general strategy of using multiple patterns observed in real systems as multiple criteria for chosing model structure, selecting among alternative submodels, and inversely determining entire sets of unknown model parameters.

Individual-based and agent-based modelling: For many, if not most, ecological questions individual-level aspects can be decisive for explaining system-level behavior. IBM/ABMs allow to represent individual heterogeneity, local interactions, and/or adaptive behaviour

Ecological theory and concepts: I am particularly interested in exploring stability properties like resilience and persistence.

Modelling for ecological applications: Pattern-oriented modelling allows to develop structurally realistic models, which can be used to support decision making and the management of biodiversity and natural resources. Currently, I am involved in the EU project CREAM, where a suite of population models is developed for pesticide risk assessment.

Standards for model communication and formulation: In 2006, we published a general protocol for describing individual- and agent-based models, called the ODD protocol (Overview, Design concepts, details). ODD turned out to be more useful (and needed) than we expected.

Methods and Tools for the Microsimulation and Forecasting of Household Expenditure

social acceptability and fuel treatments

Kenneth D. Aiello is a postdoctoral research scholar with the Global BioSocial Complexity Initiative at ASU. Kenneth’s research contributes to cross disciplinary conversations on how historical developments in biological, social, and cultural knowledge systems are governed by processes that transform the structure, dynamics, and function of complex systems. Applying computational historical analysis and epistemology to question what scientific knowledge is and how we can analyze changes in knowledge, he uses text analysis, social network analysis, and machine learning to measure similarities and differences between the knowledge claims of individual agents and groups. His work builds on how to assess contested knowledge claims and measure the evolution of knowledge across complex systems and multiple dimensions of scale. This approach also engages in dynamic new debates about global and local structures of knowledge shaped by technological innovation within microbiology related to public policy, shrinking resources given to biomedical ideas as opposed to “translation”, and the ethics of scientific discovery. Using interdisciplinary methods for understanding historical content and context rich narratives contributes to understanding new domains and major transitions in science and provides a richer understanding of how knowledge emerges.

ABM
Modelling
Behavioural modelling
Cognitive and Behavioural Economics
Bounded Rationality

My interests include model componentization, statistics, data analysis and improving model development and resuability practices.

Water scarcity generated by climate change and mismanagement, affects individual at microlevel and the society and the system at a more general level. The research focuses on irrigation system and their robustness and adaptation capacity to uncertainty. In particular it investigates the evolution of farmers interactions and the effectiveness of policies by means of dynamic game theory and incorporate the results into an Agent Based Model to explore farmers emergent behaviors and the role of an agency in defining policies. Early knowledge of individual decision makers could help the agency to design more acceptable solutions.

My research focuses on the interdisciplinary nexus of artificial intelligence (AI), digital economy, technological innovation, and industrial economics, with an emphasis on understanding how digital technologies reshape economic structures, policy frameworks, and societal norms. Key areas of interest include:

1. Artificial Intelligence & Digital Transformation
   Ethical and Governance Challenges of AI: Investigating algorithmic bias, data privacy, and accountability in AI systems; proposing frameworks for ethical AI development and deployment.
   AI Adoption and Economic Impact: Analyzing how AI-driven automation and innovation influence productivity, labor markets, and industrial competitiveness.
2. Digital Economy & Platform Markets
   Crowdfunding, Sharing Economy, and Digital Platforms: Examining user behavior, market dynamics, and performance drivers in emerging digital ecosystems (e.g., crowdfunding campaigns, app markets).
   Digital Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Studying the role of technological innovation in firm growth, particularly in internet-based industries.
3. Technological Innovation & Industrial Policy
   Innovation-Driven Industrial Competitiveness: Developing quantitative models (e.g., DEA, CGE) to assess the efficiency and competitiveness of emerging industries under technological disruption.
   Policy Evaluation and Simulation: Using computational modeling to analyze the economic and industrial impacts of trade policies, environmental regulations, and technological standards.
4. Resource Economics & Sustainable Development
   Water Resource Management and Policy: Evaluating the economic and environmental trade-offs of water conservation policies through general equilibrium modeling.
   Global Trade and Food Security: Assessing the impacts of international trade regulations (e.g., food safety standards) on domestic industries and global supply chains.
5. Cross-Disciplinary Methodological Innovation
   Integrating econometrics, data science, and behavioral economics to enhance the rigor and relevance of industrial and policy research.
   Leveraging big data analytics, machine learning, and agent-based modeling to uncover complex relationships in digital markets and technological ecosystems.