On July 20th, James Holmes committed a mass shooting in a midnight showing of The Dark Knight Rises. The Aurora Colorado shooting was used as a test case to validate this framework for modeling mass shootings.

This model was designed to study resilience in organizations. Inspired by ethnographic work, it follows the simple goal to understand whether team structure affects the way in which tasks are performed. In so doing, it compares the ‘hybrid’ data-inspired structure with three more traditional structures (i.e. hierarchy, flexible/relaxed hierarchy, and anarchy/disorganization).

Flibs’NLogo is an agent-based simulation implemented in NetLogo that models the evolution of perfect predictors through a genetic algorithm. The agents, called flibs (finite living blobs), are finite‑state automata whose behaviour is encoded in circular chromosomes. They inhabit a “primordial computer soup” and are tasked with anticipating a user‑defined periodic binary sequence. Each generation consists of 100 evaluation cycles, during which a flib’s fitness is incremented each time its output correctly matches the next environmental signal.
Reproduction follows an elitist scheme: a donor (current fittest individual) replaces a randomly chosen recipient either by cloning (complete genome substitution) or by bacterial‑like conjugation (unidirectional horizontal transfer of a random chromosome segment). A stochastic mutagenesis operator introduces point mutations in genes, while the reproductive strategy gene can also switch under a mixed-reproduction regime. Population dynamics are monitored via genomic diversity indices (Shannon‑Wiener, Simpson), a phenotypic simpleness metric that distinguishes the low number of states actually used from the genomic potential.
The model serves as a digital evolutionary laboratory for exploring the interplay among bounded rationality, collective adaptation, and the emergence of anticipatory behaviour. By linking evolutionary computation with cognitive concepts, Flibs’NLogo investigates fundamental transitions from reactive to predictive systems and allows for testing whether populations evolve toward minimal necessary complexity or exhibit an intrinsic drift toward structural elaboration.

An agent-based microsimulation of insecticide-treated net (ITN) distribution and adoption in Kenya (2003–2024), integrating the Theory of Planned Behaviour, Rogers diffusion, Weibull net decay, and a GPS-based two-layer social network. 8,561 household agents calibrated via Approximate Bayesian Computation to six DHS/MIS survey waves, achieving 2.42 pp mean absolute error on Kenya-level ownership. The analysis chain supports mechanism counterfactuals and policy experiments on equity outcomes of ITN distribution strategies.