This repository contains: (1) a model calibration procedure that identifies a set of diverse, plausible models; and (2) an ABM of smallholder agriculture, which is used as a case study application for the calibration method. By identifying a set of diverse models, the calibration method attends to the issue of “equifinality” prevalent in complex systems, which is a situation where multiple plausible process descriptions exist for a single outcome.
DMC-RPA: Diverse Model Calibration for Robust Policy Analysis (applied to an ABM of smallholder farmer resilience)
Williams, T. G., S. D. Guikema, D. G. Brown, and A. Agrawal. 2020. “Resilience and Equity: Quantifying the Distributional Effects of Resilience-Enhancing Strategies in a Smallholder Agricultural System.” Agricultural Systems 182 (June): 102832. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102832
Williams, T. G., S. D. Guikema, D. G. Brown, and A. Agrawal. “Assessing Model Equifinality for Robust Policy Analysis in Complex Socio-Environmental Systems.” Environmental Modelling & Software. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104831
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