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Essential Workers at Risk: An Agent-Based Model (SAFE-ABM) with Uncertainty Quantification
Elizabeth Amona Edward L Boone | Published Sunday, November 01, 2026This archive contains the SAFE-ABM computational model developed to evaluate targeted intervention strategies for protecting essential workers during epidemic conditions, accompanying the published article “Essential Workers at Risk: An Agent-Based Model (SAFE-ABM) with Uncertainty Quantification” in the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 29(4), Article 7 (2026). https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.6276. SAFE-ABM is an agent-based model that simulates disease transmission through structured interactions across households, workplaces, and schools, while incorporating stochastic disease progression and uncertainty in transmission, recovery, and mortality parameters.
The model evaluates five intervention scenarios: Scenario 1, no restrictions; Scenario 2, school-from-home; Scenario 3, essential-workers-only movement; Scenario 4, rotational shifts among essential workers with quarantine of symptomatic active workers; and Scenario 5, rotational shifts among essential workers without quarantine. The archive includes scenario-specific simulation scripts, comparison-analysis scripts, saved derived outputs, README documentation, software requirements, and reproducibility notes.
The included comparison scripts reproduce the main numerical summaries and manuscript outputs, including median epidemic trajectories, predictive-uncertainty plots, cumulative recovery and death summaries, inflection-point summaries, Welch-test comparisons, and mutual-information sensitivity rankings. Saved derived outputs are included so that the main figures and tables can be reproduced without rerunning all large-scale simulations.
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Peer reviewed Virus Transmission with Super-spreaders
J M Applegate | Published Saturday, September 11, 2021A curious aspect of the Covid-19 pandemic is the clustering of outbreaks. Evidence suggests that 80\% of people who contract the virus are infected by only 19% of infected individuals, and that the majority of infected individuals faile to infect another person. Thus, the dispersion of a contagion, $k$, may be of more use in understanding the spread of Covid-19 than the reproduction number, R0.
The Virus Transmission with Super-spreaders model, written in NetLogo, is an adaptation of the canonical Virus Transmission on a Network model and allows the exploration of various mitigation protocols such as testing and quarantines with both homogenous transmission and heterogenous transmission.
The model consists of a population of individuals arranged in a network, where both population and network degree are tunable. At the start of the simulation, a subset of the population is initially infected. As the model runs, infected individuals will infect neighboring susceptible individuals according to either homogenous or heterogenous transmission, where heterogenous transmission models super-spreaders. In this case, k is described as the percentage of super-spreaders in the population and the differing transmission rates for super-spreaders and non super-spreaders. Infected individuals either recover, at which point they become resistant to infection, or die. Testing regimes cause discovered infected individuals to quarantine for a period of time.