natalya-pushkareva

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natalya-pushkareva

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https://github.com/natalya-pushkareva

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GFN & Technology Models Library (2025–2035) is a collection of four interrelated computational models focused on global financial networks, cascading default risks, technological development, and technological lag, with particular attention to Russia, the USA, and China. The library combines agent-based modeling, system dynamics, Monte-Carlo simulation, and network analysis. It includes: (1) a Numba-accelerated Monte-Carlo technology index model; (2) a hybrid GFN + cascading defaults (Gai–Kapadia) + Russian system dynamics model; (3) a twin-simulation GFN+SBS framework with selective bailout and Russia’s peripheral position; and (4) an endogenous GFN model with technology centrality, dependence, and tech lag dynamics under sanctions scenarios. GFN & Technology Models Library (2025–2035) is a collection of four interrelated computational models focused on global financial networks, cascading default risks, technological development, and technological lag, with particular attention to Russia, the USA, and China.

The library combines agent-based modeling, system dynamics, Monte-Carlo simulation, and network analysis. It includes:

  1. Technology Index 2035 (Monte-Carlo + Numba) — hybrid SD/ABM model projecting a composite technology index under different scenarios (Russia baseline, China, USA) with aggressive Numba optimization.
  2. RUS-GFN-TSI-2035 CASCADE — hybrid model integrating a Gai–Kapadia-style cascading defaults network, an agent-based Global Financial Network layer, and a system-dynamics module for the Russian economy (TSI, inflation, technology, trust, etc.).

Under development.

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