References
Data and values used in the model are based on:
Bayraktarov, E., Stewart-Sinclair, P. J., Brisbane, S., Boström-Einarsson, L., Saunders, M. I., Lovelock, C. E., Possingham, H. P., Mumby, P. J., & Wilson, K. A. (2019). Motivations, success, and cost of coral reef restoration. Restoration Ecology, 27(5), 981–991. https://doi.org/10.1111/rec.12977
Coral Reef Research Foundation (CRRF). (2014). A Summary of Palau’s Typhoon History. Technical Report (p. 17). https://coralreefpalau.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/CRRF-Palau-Typhoon-History-2014-1.pdf
Fabricius, K. E., Langdon, C., Uthicke, S., Humphrey, C., Noonan, S., De’ath, G., Okazaki, R., Muehllehner, N., Glas, M. S., & Lough, J. M. (2011). Losers and winners in coral reefs acclimatized to elevated carbon dioxide concentrations. Nature Climate Change, 1(3), 165–169. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1122
Golbuu, Y., Gouezo, M., Kurihara, H., Rehm, L., & Wolanski, E. (2016). Long-term isolation and local adaptation in Palau’s Nikko Bay help corals thrive in acidic waters. Coral Reefs, 35(3), 909–918. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-016-1457-5
Gupta, A. (2019). 2019 State of the Environment Report, Republic of Palau. National Environmental Protection Council, Government of Palau: Koror, Palau.
IPCC. (2023). Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844
Lachs, L., Donner, S. D., Mumby, P. J., Bythell, J. C., Humanes, A., East, H. K., & Guest, J. R. (2023). Emergent increase in coral thermal tolerance reduces mass bleaching under climate change. Nature Communications, 14(1), 4939. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40601-6
National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS). (2007). Benthic Habitat Mapping. Republic of Palau [Shapefile]. https://products.coastalscience.noaa.gov/collections/benthic/e102palau/
PACCSAP. (2015). Current and future climate of Palau. Australia: Palau National Weather Service Office, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO). https://www.pacificclimatechange.net/sites/default/files/2_PACCSAP-Palau-11pp_WEB.pdf
Van Woesik, R., Golbuu, Y., & Roff, G. (2015). Keep up or drown: Adjustment of western Pacific coral reefs to sea-level rise in the 21st century. Royal Society Open Science, 2(7), 150181. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.150181
van Woesik, R., Houk, P., Isechal, A. L., Idechong, J. W., Victor, S., & Golbuu, Y. (2012). Climate-change refugia in the sheltered bays of Palau: Analogs of future reefs. Ecology and Evolution, 2(10), 2474–2484. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.363
