An agent-based model of how public space conditions shape the collective formation of local sports communities in high-mobility cities. A small gathering is already exercising in an abstract, systematically configurable public space; the model asks how strangers join them and whether the loose gathering consolidates into a stable community. Three conditions are manipulated, each acting through exactly one channel: spatial legibility governs whether a passer-by notices the activity, routine compatibility governs whether a member attends in a given week, and social anchor availability governs how much one episode of co-presence builds a tie. Ties carry a continuous strength with two thresholds, so that relationships of differing strength cross their thresholds at different condition levels. Because the model does not represent the origin of an activity, dissolution is irreversible and survival is a clean binary outcome. Across 32,790 runs in eight experiments the model yields two well separated thresholds along routine compatibility — one for survival, one for consolidation — with a wide band between them in which a space is used continuously but no community forms. The tie submodel is adapted from Jin, Girvan and Newman (2001) and verified against it by docking. Robustness is established against the seeded gathering, the pre-existing social network, a joint ±20 per cent perturbation of the behavioural parameters, and the parameters of the tie machinery.