We propose to extend demographic multistate models with a behavioural element linking intentions to behaviour. Concretely, behavioral rules explain intentions and thus transitions. Our framework is inspired by the Theory of Planned Behaviour. Model parameters are determined using empirical data if available. We exemplify our approach with a model of migration from Senegal to Southern Europe. Our approach adds to the toolkit of demographic projection by allowing for shocks and social influence which alter behaviour in nonlinear ways, while sticking to the general framework of multistate modelling.
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|Version||Submitter||First published||Last modified||Status|
|1.6.0||Sabine Zinn||Tue Mar 13 08:44:24 2018||Tue Mar 13 08:44:24 2018||Published|
|1.5.0||Sabine Zinn||Mon Mar 20 08:05:58 2017||Mon Mar 20 08:05:58 2017||Published|
|1.4.0||Sabine Zinn||Mon Mar 6 08:41:51 2017||Mon Mar 6 08:41:51 2017||Published|
|1.3.0||Sabine Zinn||Fri Nov 25 21:51:49 2016||Fri Nov 25 21:51:49 2016||Published|
|1.2.0||Sabine Zinn||Tue Sep 13 18:41:31 2016||Tue Sep 13 18:41:31 2016||Published|
|1.1.0||Sabine Zinn||Fri Aug 26 20:20:21 2016||Fri Aug 26 20:20:21 2016||Published|
|1.0.0||Sabine Zinn||Wed Aug 3 20:19:13 2016||Wed Aug 3 20:19:13 2016||Published|